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Research
2021-03-30 |
My top-line view is that it’s unlikely that the US and China can arrive soon at a common vision of future global order. I suppose the best we can hope for is an uneasy co-existence for the next 10 years or so. But you know co-existence may not be too bad.
2021-03-29 |
I want to make three points, building on some of the discussion which we had last night, which I thought was fascinating. We began by talking about great powers, and we ended up discussing ideology. I just want to step back a little bit and to put things into context.
2021-03-27 |
This year marks the 50th anniversary of the great thaw in relations between China and the United States — a turning point whose importance cannot be overstated. During his phone call with U.S. President Joe Biden in February, President Xi Jinping put it this way: “One of the most important events in international relations over the past half-century or so has been the restoration and development of China-U.S. relations.”
2021-03-26 |
The current international system is one of emerging bipolarity. That is good news, as bipolar systems tend to be peaceful. But risks in the US-China relationship and the system will be profound, focusing mostly on the economic and diplomatic arenas. We are in a period of emerging bipolarity because the United States and China will be the world’s superpowers for the foreseeable future. The global distribution of power determines the nature of any system. The two nations have emerged over the past decade
2021-03-25 |
The first argument is that the international order is determined by great power relations, not the other way around. Once they've been created, primarily by the United States in our current era, international institutions gain some autonomy And as David Gordon talked about in his remarks, when the United States pulls back from that system as the US did during the Trump era, the international system has been breaking down pretty quickly. China has not filled the void.
2021-03-12 |
It is interesting to see how, in one month, Mars suddenly had three visitors from Earth. First, the United Arab Emirates’ probe named Amal, or Hope, arrived on February 9; a day later, China’s Tianwen-I entered Mars’ orbit. Perseverance, Nasa’s newest rover, landed on the red planet’s surface on February 18. Why can’t nations pool their resources and knowledge on such gargantuan tasks that are extremely difficult and expensive?
2021-02-08 |
Last October, US and Chinese defense officials convened their first Crisis Communications Working Group to discuss crisis prevention and management. The meeting was unusual in discussing “crisis” for the first time, rather than “accidents”. It showed that the two militaries have begun to worry about things getting out of hand when bilateral ties go into free fall.
2021-01-25 |
Joe Biden has been elected 46th president of the United States. Donald Trump, his predecessor, has been impeached for a second time. Both events are good news. Looking back at the four years of the Trump administration, one might wonder why a man who made an average of 20 false and misleading claims a day and eventually incited a mob to storm the Capitol could have been elected as president of the most powerful country on Earth. Why was he supported by 74 million American voters in November’s presidential election?
2020-12-24 |
That Mr Joe Biden will soon occupy the White House instead of Mr Donald Trump will not necessarily elicit sighs of relief in Beijing. However different Mr Biden might be from Mr Trump personally, the great power competition initiated by the Trump administration and backed by a bipartisan congressional consensus will not only remain on course but also likely intensify in the decades to come.
2020-12-18 |
Despite a deterioration in U.S.-China relations, both countries should seize this rare historical moment to develop common norms on AI.
2020-12-09 |
The countries which could not wait to congratulate Joe Biden on winning the presidency are America’s allies. This should be no surprise. In the past four years, Donald Trump’s “America first” policy and his alarming words to Nato have unnerved them all. They could only rejoice to embrace a man who said: “We’re going to be back in the game. It’s not America alone.”
2020-11-25 |
BEIJING — The domestic politics of major countries are never kept within their borders — and the future policy orientation of the United States has become a hot topic for many people in China.There is no denying the fact that China-U.S. relations have suffered serious damage over the past four years. Each country has expressed much complaint and concern about the other.
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