
The 2026 APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting will take place in Shenzhen on November 18–19. The gathering may also provide an opportunity for direct talks among the leaders of China, the United States, and Russia. The international context and the balance of power among the three states have changed substantially since the Cold War. How well does the traditional strategic-triangle framework explain their relations today? In this episode of Sinopinion, Da Wei, Director of the Center for International Security and Strategy (CISS) at Tsinghua University, and Shao Yuqun, Director of the Institute for Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao Studies at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS), are joined by Zhao Long, Deputy Director of the Institute for International Strategic and Security Studies and Senior Research Fellow at SIIS. Using the strategic triangle as a reference point, they reassess today's China-U.S.-Russia relations and their implications for the international order. They explore the scope for cooperation despite persistent differences, and whether mutual vulnerability can contribute to strategic stability.
01:19From the Cold War Strategic Triangle to Today's China-U.S.-Russia Relations
09:04The Limits of a “Reverse Nixon” Strategy
14:53Great-Power Roles in a Changing International Order and Concerns About a “New Yalta”
23:58Great-Power Responsibilities in Resolving Regional Conflicts
30:13Great-Power Stability and Regional Security
33:23Trilateral Coordination on Nuclear Risk Management, AI Safety, and Energy Security
41:17Mutual Vulnerability as a Possible Basis for Strategic Stability
48:57Shared Vulnerabilities Arising from AI and the Urgency of Cooperation
Executive Producer:GUO Jia
Producers:GUO Mingxinyi
Podcast Editor:CHAI Jingru
Content Assistant:RUAN Xinyi
Graphics Designer:CHAI Jingru
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