导语世界经济论坛于6月25日至27日在辽宁大连召开夏季达沃斯论坛（又称第十五届新领军者年会）。达沃斯论坛被称为世界经济的“风向标”和“瞭望塔”。本届年会以“未来增长的新前沿”为主题，商界、政界、社会组织、国际组织和学术界来自100多个国家和地区的约1700名代表就“全球新经济”“中国和世界”“人工智能时代的企业家精神”“产业新前沿”“对人进行投资”“气候、自然与能源的相互联系”六大主题进行探讨。各界代表齐聚一堂，深化共识，凝合伙伴关系，寻求具有创新力和影响力的解决方案，助力全球经济复苏，为应对世界变局共谋发展之道。 一、夏季达沃斯论坛是世界了解中国的重要窗口。在多场“中国”主题的分论坛上，多国嘉宾都认为中国经济回升向好的动力强劲。 1、国家统计局数据显示，2024年一季度，国内生产总值296299亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长5.3%，比上年四季度环比增长1.6%。 China has seen a steady economic performance so far in 2024, with the country's retail sales of consumer goods hitting 19.52 trillion yuan ($2.69 trillion) from January to May this year, up 4.1 percent year-on-year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. When Chinese Premier Li Qiang addressing the opening plenary of the Summer Davos, he emphasized that China has unique comparative advantages to foster new industries, including an ultra-large market with a population of over 1.4 billion, a complete industrial system, abundant human resources, diverse application scenarios, and consumers' high acceptance of new technologies. “We have the confidence and capability to achieve the growth target of around 5 percent for this year,” Li said. (June 27, 2024, “Summer Davos concludes, highlighting China's critical role on global stage”,Global Times) China, as the world's second largest economy and the largest emerging market, is central to future global growth, and the Forum has held its annual 'Summer Davos' in China since 2007. In 2023, China accounted for around 30% of global growth, Peng Sen, President of the China Society of Economic Reform (CSER), told the AMNC's China Economic Outlook session. In the first quarter of 2024, China's growth was higher than expected at 5.3%. (June 28, 2024, “AMNC24: Five things to know about the 'Summer Davos' in China”,World Economic Forum) Photo:VCG/CHINA DAILY 2、最近，世界银行将中国 2024 年的经济增长预测上调至 4.8%，比之前的预测高出 0.3 个百分点。国际货币基金组织（IMF）也将中国的经济展望上调至 5%，比之前的预测高出 0.4 个百分点。 Since the start of this year, the Chinese economy has maintained its recovery momentum. It started strongly in the first quarter with a 5.3 percent year-on-year growth and continued to grow steadily in the second quarter. Official data showed that indicators measuring consumption, trade in goods and value-added industrial output all posted positive performance in May. International organizations and institutions have raised their forecasts for China's economic growth, reflecting strong confidence in the country's future prospects. Recently, the World Bank increased its forecast for China's 2024 economic growth to 4.8 percent, 0.3 percentage points higher than the previous forecast. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also revised China's economic outlook to 5 percent, 0.4 percentage points higher than the previous forecast. This positive outlook rebuffs the narratives of some Western politicians and media, who claimed that China's economic slowdown could pose risks to global economic growth. According to IMF analysis, a 1 percentage point increase in China's GDP growth results in an average of 0.3 percentage point increase in growth for other economies. (June 28, 2024, “China remains key driving force for global economic growth”,China Daily) Photo:CGTN 二、夏季达沃斯论坛关注信息技术、人工智能、新能源等领域新技术发展。世界经济论坛发布《2024十大新兴技术报告》，人工智能、高空平台通信系统、以及能够提高器官移植成功率的基因组编辑等技术被认为在接下来的3至5年内极有可能对全球经济技术与民生等领域产生积极而深远的影响。 In various domains, ranging from technological development represented by artificial intelligence (AI) to green innovation spearheaded by new energy technologies, industry insiders at the event recognized that China is among the flagbearers, eyeing more spillover effects from China's progress. According to Chen Liming, chair of Greater China of the World Economic Forum, future growth points will revolve around technological innovation and green low-carbon exploration, creating new engines for growth amidst global transformations. For many distinguished panelists at the event, China serves as a prominent trendsetter and a second-to-none magnet for related industries amid the trend of exploring new frontiers of AI and new energy sectors. (June 28, 2024, “Xinhua Headlines: From AI to new energy, China's emerging industries a boon for the world”,Xinhua) The ongoing 2024 Summer Davos, which opened in northeast China's coastal city of Dalian on Tuesday, released the Top 10 Emerging Technologies report, featuring technologies with the greatest potential to positively impact the world over the next three to five years. According to Frederick Fenter, chief executive editor of Frontiers, the report's co-publisher, the 10 technologies were selected from a group of 70 candidate technologies, applying criteria including novelty, applicability, depth and power. Artificial intelligence-powered scientific discovery, high-altitude platform stations, and genomics for transplants are among the 10 listed technologies that focus on applications in health, communication, infrastructure, and sustainability. The report also provided an overview of integrated sensing and communication and the advent of 6G networks. Which facilitate simultaneous data collection and transmission, The technology enables environmental monitoring systems that help in smart agriculture, environmental conservation, and urban planning. (June 26, 2024, “Summer Davos reveals top 10 emerging technologies set to have global impact”,CCTV+) Photo:Xinhua 三、夏季达沃斯论坛为推动全球创新对话提供了良好契机，为世界经济可持续发展创造机遇。中国积极发展新质生产力，推动高质量发展，为全球经济增添新活力，为各国企业拓宽合作机会。中国现有 40 多万家高新技术企业和 10 多万家专精特新中小企业。在今年的论坛上，许多与会者表达了与中国高科技领域合作的浓厚兴趣，这表明全球对中国创新能力的认可。 The initial impression from the outside world is one of “unprecedented scale” - this year's forum has set new records in terms of number of sessions, and guest attendance, with approximately 200 events and nearly 50 meetings livestreamed online. Over 1,700 representatives from more than 100 countries and regions around the world are participating. This highlights the international community’s strong desire to seek opportunities through cooperation, against the backdrop of decoupling and supply chain disruptions challenging the global economy, particularly in high-tech fields. The Summer Davos, dubbed the "flower of technology and innovation" of the summer, has once again built a bridge for mutual achievements between China and the world. (June 26, 2024, “Summer Davos sees ‘unprecedented scale,’ reflecting vitality, resonance”,Global Times) The resilience of the Chinese economy is further evidenced in its robust export performance and the rapid recovery of key industries post-pandemic. Thanks to China's commitment to a high-quality opening-up policy and the deepening of its reforms, a more balanced and sustainable economic structure is taking shape. This structure, focusing on boosting domestic consumption, advancing technological prowess, and enhancing industrial capabilities, is set to steer the Chinese economy out of global economic turbulence. China is now home to more than 400,000 high-tech enterprises and over 100,000 specialized and sophisticated small and medium-sized enterprises, which produce new and unique products. At this year's forum, many participants express their strong interest in cooperation with China's hi-tech sector, demonstrating global recognition of China's innovation capabilities. (June 27, 2024, “Summer Davos showcases vitality, resilience of Chinese economy”,People’s Daily Online)
